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Southampton v Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips, 12th August 2018

10th August 2018 / lee
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Southampton v Burnley Premier League Preview, 12th August 1.30pm

It wasn’t a particularly good season from Southampton last season and it will be interesting to see what they can churn out this go around. They didn’t have a great time of things at St Mary’s and that could leave them at risk. Burnley have already been sharpening their teeth this season with participation in the Europa League qualifiers and may just be that little bit sharper.

Southampton v Burnley Betting Odds*

Southampton 5/6
Draw 13/5
Burnley 4/1
* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.)

Southampton News and Form

Southampton finished just above the drop zone in the Premier League last season and won just four times at home. It was a really poor return and even though Mark Hughes, who they have kept on, came in to try and rescue them, wins were still few and far between. They do have a fairly comfortable start to the season in terms of fixtures but all that they have done in the transfer market is bring in keeper Angus Gunn and defender Jannik Vestergaard. That really doesn’t do a great deal to improve their overall balance and the outlook for the season ahead and for this opener at St Mary’s we can only look under 1.5 goals at 7/4 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.). It’s hard to see the goals flying around in this one.

Each of Southampton’s final three games of last season went under 2.5 goals and five of their last six against Burnley in all competitions have gone that way. The Saints struggled to an average of less than a goal per game overall last season in the Premier League and haven’t done much about fixing it other than Danny Ings coming in on a loan deal and Mohamed Elyounoussi on the left. So there naturally is going to be some pressure on them in this one because of that because they will be facing a team who are defensively so well drilled. The positive is, is that they don’t have any injury problems ahead of the new season. The Saints have failed to win all but one of their last eleven Premier League home games.

Burnley News and Form

Burnley have already had a busy summer with their Europa League qualification campaign going on. They were in action on Thursday night, playing out a solid 0-0 draw out in Israel against Istanbul Basaksehir. They gave a club debut to Joe Hart between the sticks too after his summer move and he looked pretty solid. There is going to be a bit of a balancing act for boss Sean Dyche to do here, maybe changing up the side a bit from the one which played in midweek. For example, they didn’t use record signing Ben Gibson on Thursday and neither did striker Matej Vydra who looks as if he could be a great capture for the Clarets. In the bet365 correct score market a Burnley 1-0 is at 10/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken on March 20th, 2018 at 00:22 p.m.) and it’s hard to see an away win happening by any other scoreline.

Burnley failed to win any of their final five games of last season and surprisingly they did slip back a bit as there was over 2.5 goals scored in eight of Burnley’s final ten games. But they are fresh again now and we expect them to be tight. They did concede a goal in both legs of their Europa League tie against Aberdeen but they looked so much stronger and more like themselves on Thursday out in Israel. The Clarets collected a W7 D7 L5 record on the road last season which was a great return and helped them bank that seventh-place finish in the table. They netted just the 20 goals in their 19 road games though.

Southampton v Burnley Head to Head

As expected there were two low scoring games between Southampton and Burnley last season. The Clarets collected four points from the two games though, getting the win at St Marys. The Clarets are unbeaten (W2D1) in their last three Premier League games against the Saints but they have lost two of their three previous Premier League trips to the south coast. Five of the six previous meetings in the Premier League ended under 2.5 goals.

Who will win – Southampton v Burnley Predictions

Southampton struggled last season and we see an opportunity for the Clarets to show up and sting them in this one. Burnley will have a slight edge in terms of match sharpness and they can make it count in a low scoring game. A Burnley 1-0 correct score isn’t without its appeal in Southampton v Burnley betting tips.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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