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Southampton v Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips, 28th April 2018

25th April 2018 / lee
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Southampton v Bournemouth Premier League Preview, 28th April 3.00pm

This is a huge south coast derby coming up on the weekend. Losing against their rivals would be a bitter way for Southampton to sink towards relegation if that were to happen on the weekend. The Saints simply have to win this to keep their survival hopes alive. They may get a chance to ally themselves with the Cherries not quite firing at the moment.

Southampton v Bournemouth Betting Odds*

Southampton 13/20, Draw 14/5, Bournemouth 4/1* (Betting Odds taken at 6:25 p.m. on April 23rd, 2018)

Southampton News and Form

Southampton are in desperate need of three points in this one. They head to the weekend four points away from safety and with just the four games to go. They have to pull out the stops. After their FA Cup semi-final defeat to Chelsea over the weekend, they get back to Premier League survival which is far more important for them. The Saints are D3 L5 in their last eight league games now and the goals are just not flowing from them. They have failed to score in four of their last six league outings and they can’t even look to home form for solace. The Saints are without a win at St Mary’s in their last nine there and have only managed the three wins in total there all season (D7 L7). Overall the Saints have scored 18 goals in 17 home games this season but have netted in just one of their last three on home soil. Just 35% of their home games have made it above the 2.5 goal line. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 11/10 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). At the back, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home game and have taken a clean sheet in just 18% of games at St Mary’s. Will the occasion of his being a south coast derby gee them up a bit to get a positive result?

Bournemouth News and Form

The Cherries have slipped to back to back defeats in the top flight, albeit against Man Utd and Liverpool. But they are winless in four, taking just one victory in their last nine league games so they have gone off the boil. They are without a win in their last four on the road as well and during that sequence have shipped ten goals. So they are there for the taking and in the bet365 correct score market a Southampton 1-0 is at 15/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 0:41 p.m. on April 24th, 2018). Bournemouth have not come up with many wins on their travels this season, just three in a W3 D6 L8 record. In total, they have averaged just a shade under a goal per game away from home, but have had trouble getting those clean sheets. The Cherries have shipped an average of 1.6 goals per away game and have a clean sheet in just 18% of their road games. They don’t have a clean sheet in any of their last ten top-flight games home and away combined. They could really hurt their rivals if they produce an away win here.

Southampton v Bournemouth Head to Head

There was a 1-1 draw between the two south coast rivals earlier in the season and that is back to back drawn results between them. From the last five Premier League meetings it is the Saints who are narrowly ahead with a W2 D2 L1 record against the Cherries. The Saints are unbeaten in their two previous Premier League home games against the Cherries (W1 D1) and they are undefeated in their previous 13 home games against the Cherries in all competitions throughout history. Bournemouth have failed to score in their last four visits to St Mary’s.

Who will win – Southampton v Bournemouth Predictions

The Saints have to get themselves up for this one. They are lacking some quality in the final third, but they have to go for it from here. Even though they have had their struggles, back the Saints to get three points which could put pressure on those above them.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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