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Premier League 2018/19 Relegation Odds & Preview

19th July 2018 / lee
Premiership Betting

While the Premier League title race can be broken down to just a small handful of clubs, when it comes to the Premier League Relegation market at bet365 then things are much more wide open. You have a whole crop of teams in single figures to be suffering the drop down to the Championship for the following season. If last season’s Premier League relegation scrap is anything to go by, it could be another intense battle with plenty of clubs involved.

You look back to the end of the last season, while it was West Brom, Stoke and Swansea who occupied the bottom three spots in the top flight at the close of the season, Crystal Palace, Bournemouth, West Ham, Huddersfield, Brighton and Southampton all had their struggles along the way and were looking in danger at one point or another. But at the end of the day the three newly promoted clubs did all survive (Huddersfield, Brighton and Newcastle) how will this current crop of newly promoted sides (Cardiff, Fulham and Wolves) fare?

Premier League 2018/19 Relegation Odds*

Cardiff 8/11
Huddersfield 6/5
Fulham 6/4
Brighton 2/1
Watford 2/1
Burnley 4/1
Bournemouth 5/1
Newcastle 6/1
Crystal Palace 11/2
West Ham 6/1
Wolves 6/1
Southampton 7/1
Leicester 14/1
Bar 33/1

* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm)

The Newly Promoted

Of the three teams coming up to the Premier League for the 2018/19 season Wolves appear to be the most trustworthy of them as they are at 6/1 odds to get relegated* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm). Considering that Cardiff are the odds-on favourites and Fulham are narrow at 6/4* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) then it speaks volumes about Wolves and what they could bring to the top flight. They were so good in the Championship this season and haven’t been shy in spreading the cash around in the summer transfer market. Nino Espirito Santo’s side does look pretty well equipped to survive the rigours of the top flight.

Cardiff have been splashing a bit of cash around in the summer as well in an attempt to secure top-flight survival. To their credit, it looked as if they were not going to have the strength in depth to sustain a promotion push last season and at one point during the Festive period it looked as if it that was the case as they lost four on the bounce. Back in 2014, they went straight back down after having earned promotion. Owner Vincent Tan seems keen to avoid a repeat of that as they have allowed boss Neil Warnock to add some quality to his side.

Fulham were an out and out joy to watch last season in the Championship as they were so good at both ends of the pitch. They missed out on automatic promotion on the final day of the season but had enough to get through the playoffs. The more of the squad that they finished last season with, including loanees Aleksandar Mitrovic and Matt Targett, the better they will be. They have a got a great deal in bringing in Jean Michael Seri into the midfield. They play slick football and could be a great addition to the top flight.

Huddersfield and Brighton

Both will be better off for having had a gritty season in the top flight under their belts. That is precious experience gained but both were in the relegation mix down the backstretch and with the quality of the teams coming up, this could be another long season. They broke their transfer record to get Terence Kongolo in the summer to try and move in a positive direction. It will likely be another industrious workmanlike season from them. Brighton have been really busy over the summer reshaping their squad. There have been a lot of players leaving while the Seagulls have shopped around for as many bargains as they can find. It is arguable as to whether they have improved greatly in terms of quality from last season though so far.

The bigger picture

Burnley are in at 4/1* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) and you would have to question that. But they had a stellar season last season which is going to be hard for them to replicate. They also have the extra burden of dealing with a possible Europa League campaign as well which would rapidly take its toll on them. Bournemouth are capable of putting decent spells of form together but they do need to go shopping over the summer to bolster the midfield and defensive areas without question. Strength in depth is key for them.

West Ham have been positive in the transfer market over the summer for new boss Manuel Pellegrini. The club has been investing heavily which should help the Hammers move forward too much better stats than last season. Watford had a strong start last season but rapidly fell away and ended up in a real mess. They have been bargain hunting more than anything but they weren’t starting in a bad place but will need more luck than last season with injuries.

Crystal Palace got themselves safe and well safe in the end under Roy Hodgson. Surprisingly they haven’t been active in the summer transfer market at all and they have to do more than just trying to keep Wilfried Zaha around. They need help with new faces because there was a thin line between survival and doom last term. They can’t afford to take a step backwards and without investment, they could be on the relegation radar.

Southampton had a season to forget, finishing fourth from bottom. Mark Hughes has been shopping over the summer but they have also let a lot of players go inducing Dusan Tadic. On the balance of transfers though they look to be heading for a stronger season but still need help in the striker department as they have been really short up there for the last couple of seasons. Newcastle dipped out of form at the end of the season but still got a mid-table finish thanks to a positive run of form between January and mid-April. They need investment though and don’t look likely to get it.

Predictions

We are going to back a newly promoted side to go down and that will Cardiff. They have tried to spend to save themselves, but the overall quality in depth may still be lacking from them. Newcastle look to be in a bit of trouble because once again the board just isn’t putting money in their venture and the Magpies could be back in trouble quickly. The 6/1 odds on them to go down* (betting odds taken from July 19th, 2018 at 6:23 pm) looks value. The other we see struggling at this point are Brighton who, despite a lot of industry and graft, may be lacking the quality survive. They have gone for players who can cover different positions as opposed to sticking experts in positions. Crystal Palace are another who may be lacking the funds going out to give them a shot at a stress-free season.





The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!




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