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Portugal World Cup 2018 Predictions – Group Stage & Winner Odds

27th May 2018 / lee
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Portugal at the World Cup 2018

Portugal may have one of the greatest players in history game available to them, but Cristiano Ronaldo is unlikely to be able to carry the nation through to World Cup success in the summer. There would be a tough road ahead for them in the knockout stages of the competition, and they even have to face up to their Iberian rivals Spain in the group stage. Two summers ago though, they pulled out a big surprise in winning at Euro 2016.

They were underdogs come through the tournament there, but the resilience and resistance shone through in the face of adversity at times. They are going to need all of their resolve and fortitude to have a deep run at Russia 2018 and the Portuguese, the reigning European champions are only a 25/1 odds outright winner option at bet365* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018). Can they overcome those odds?

Portugal World Cup 2018 Fixtures – Group Stage

So Portugal have to go through one of the toughest starts. They kick off their World Cup campaign in the summer on Friday, June 15 when they will be taking on neighbours Spain in what is likely to be very early group decider. This is Group B action at the tournament, and as the numbers in the group are being made up by Morocco and Iran, it is more likely than not that at the end of the day the two European nations will be progressing.

Portugal are 9/4 odds second favourites* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018) behind Spain to win Group B at the tournament. That is because Spain looks back to their very best and Portugal may have a hard time dealing with them. For that opening game on June 15 Portugal are 7/2 odds underdogs with bet365* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018) to get maximum points out of that. But even if Portugal were to suffer defeat in that fixture, then there would be no reason to panic for them because of the easier fixtures that will be following. Portugal’s second fixture is on Wednesday, June 20 when they take on Morocco.

Interestingly Morocco and Portugal have met once before and that was at the 1986 World Cup when the African nation produced a 3-1 result. Portugal this time around are finding themselves as odds-on favourites to win over the African nation and that will put them well on course for the knockout stages. Portugal’s easiest game then comes in the final round of group stage matches when they take on Iran. Interestingly in this one, there has been one previous World Cup match played between them.

That was back in 2006 and Portugal ran out 2-0 winners. So there really shouldn’t be any panic about not progressing from Group B at the tournament for Portugal. It is unlikely that Morocco and Iran going to produce enough to break down the Europeans and stop them following Spain through. So even though Portugal opens with a tough game there is more than enough wiggle room in the group for them to be in the mix of the knockout stages.

Knockout Stage

There is no easy way ultimately, for Portugal to get to the Final of the 2018 World Cup. In the first knockout stage they would be facing somebody from Group A which contains Russia, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Uruguay. In Group A it is Uruguay who are running as favourites, so if the general perception is that Portugal ends up second in their group, it could be the South Americans that the reigning European champions meet in the round of 16. That would be pretty much the worst-case scenario for Portugal in terms of what round of 16 fixture that they could find themselves in. You would imagine that it would be a pretty tight battle between Uruguay and Portugal if they were to meet up, because both of them know how to defend.

If Portugal were to make it through to the quarter-finals after finishing second in the group stage, the most likely opponent at that stage would be France who are one of the strong front runners to win the tournament outright. It was France who Portugal beat in the final Euro 2016, despite being on the back foot for most of the game. So the French would be all over them to get revenge if that was a fixture that was to crop up at the 2018 World Cup.

Then if Portugal worked a surprise and found themselves in the semi finals they would be doing so in the top half draw and going based on the World Cup Outright Winner market odds at bet365, the most likely semi finalist that the would meet there would be Brazil. So really the only way that Portugal are likely to get an easy game in the knockout stages would be if Uruguay failed to top their group, setting up an easier round of 16 fixture for Cristiano Ronaldo and co.

Portugal Stage of Elimination

So where along the World Cup 2018 path are Portugal likely to fall out of the tournament? Getting out of the group should be no problem whatsoever for them so they should see a least one round of knockout stage action. At Euro 2016 Portugal bent but just wouldn’t break and that is a strength that they do have. It would really be a tight tussle with Uruguay if that ends up being round of 16 fixture that they are in. There wouldn’t be to be too much to choose between them.

However, because Uruguay would pose more of an attacking threat through Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez than Portugal could come up with through Cristiano Ronaldo alone, that’s something to consider. Portugal are 19/10 odds* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018) to get knocked out in the round of 16 while they are 11/4 odds* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018) to make it through to the quarter-finals and then fall at that stage.

Portugal Top Goalscorer

The should be a pretty straightforward market as Portugal rely on one man for goals and one man only. That, of course, is Cristiano Ronaldo and because he will be taking all of their set pieces where there’s a pot shot at goal, so he is the obvious choice at 11/18 odds* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018) to finish at Portugal’s top goalscorer for the tournament. There’s no-one really likely to challenge him in this department and if they were unfortunate enough to see him suffer an injury, Portugal just doesn’t have the back up in the goal scoring department to cope.

Outright Odds* for the World Cup 2018

Brazil 4/1, Germany 9/2, Spain 6/1, France 13/2, Argentina 9/1, Belgium 11/1, England 18/1, Portugal 25/1, Uruguay 33/1, Croatia 33/1, Colombia 40/1, Russia 40/1, Poland 50/1, bar 100/1* (betting odds taken at 4:25 p.m. on May 25, 2018)


Portugal are unlikely to have the firepower behind them to make a particularly deep run at the tournament. They scrapped and battled their way to their Euro 2016 title by drawing more games than they won outright in 90 minutes. While they should follow Spain through to the knockout stages, Portugal are likely to do so in second place and therefore face Uruguay in the round of sixteen.

If that happens, the European Champions will be vulnerable and therefore it is just worth a flutter on seeing them have their campaign ended early and to go home in the last sixteen which is at 19/10 odds with bet365* (betting odds taken at 00:37 a.m. on May 26th, 2018).

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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