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Poland World Cup 2018 Predictions – Group Stage & Winner Odds

29th April 2018 / lee
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Poland will be relying on the superstar power of Robert Lewandowski to help guide them through their World Cup 2018 campaign. Poland have landed themselves in a competitive group and they will be looking to build on the positives that they took away from reaching the quarter finals of the European Championships two years ago.

Poland Nickname: The White and Reds
Head Coach: Adam Nawałka
FIFA World Ranking: 10

Qualification Campaign

Poland’s qualification campaign was steady and pretty assured winning eight of their ten games. Their only loss along the way was a bad misfire out in Denmark when they suffered a 4-0 loss. Other than they, they were strong, winning all five of their home games. The importance of Robert Lewandowski to them can’t be understated of course. Poland scored at least two goals in all but one of their ten qualification games and at the heart of their goals production was Bayern Munich Lewandowski.

He scored 16 goals in their qualification campaign and that is of 28 that Poland scored in total through their ten games. That’s some output from the big man and he along with Arkadiuz Milik have the potential to trouble a lot of defences in the World Cup, especially in their group stage. There was just no point of qualification proceedings are Poland located in any danger of not landing top spot. Their defeat in Denmark was in game seven and that was after having already beaten the Danes at home.

There was more than enough in the tank to win the group easily and Poland’s response to that loss was to score thirteen goals in their following three qualification matches. They are by and large, in a pretty good place right now with the talent that they have at their disposal.

Stage of Elimination

Poland are in Group H at the 2018 World Cup which sees them take on the challenge of Senegal, Colombia and Japan. On paper, this is the most wide open and competitive of the eight groups there and there could be some value in backing Poland to top the pile. Poland are 7/4 second favourites to win Group H behind Colombia. However, the South Americans haven’t actually looked all that good and haven’t done for a while now and so there is a real chance for the European to top them.

Poland opens their account against Senegal on June 19th and that could be a tricky match for the Polish just because of the African nations at World Cups generally being a bit of an unknown quantity. Senegal have a good base of players plying their trade across Europe’s top leagues, but it is always hard to gauge them because of the lack of stiff competition that they pit themselves against from other continents. Poland are 5/4 favourites* (betting odds taken on April 26th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.) to win that opening fixture.

Poland do look strong enough through their squad to handle that challenge and it is going to be important for them to get off to a strong start. In their second match they go up against Colombia and even though the Polish are underdogs for that one, they should be strong enough to hold their own and avoid defeat against a side who weren’t convincing through their qualification campaign at all. The South Americans don’t look anywhere near as strong as they did four years ago when they made their big splash at Brazil 2014.

Then Poland will get their easiest group game against Japan who may well have already been eliminated from qualification chances by then, so the European should be able to round off with a win. The attacking threat that Poland carry with them is more than enough to do some damage to the defences that they will come up in the group stage and they look very good value to progress from the group. They would likely face either England or Belgium in the round of sixteen which won’t put a great deal of fear into them, but a Poland round of sixteen stage of elimination bet at 13/8 odds* (betting odds taken on April 26th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.) looks reasonable.

Poland World Cup 2018 Fixtures & Odds*

19th June: Poland 5/4, Draw 11/5, Senegal 23/10
24th June: Colombia 13/8, Poland 9/5, Draw 21/10
28th June: Poland 5/6, Draw 5/2, Japan 10/3

World Cup Winner Odds*

Brazil 4/1, Germany 9/2, France 13/2, Spain 6/1, Argentina 9/1, Belgium 11/1, England 18/1, Portugal 25/1, Uruguay 33/1, Croatia 33/1, Colombia 40/1, Poland 50/1, bar 100/1* (betting odds taken at 7.30 p.m. on April 24th, 2018)

Past World Cup Performances

The first-ever World Cup that Poland participated in was in 1938 when they lost the one game that they played. That was against Brazil a game which the South Americans won 6-5 after extra time (the tournament start with a first-round knockout stage). They didn’t make it back to another World Cup tournament until 1974 and they did a much better job that time around. After topping their group over Argentina, they qualifying from the second group stage behind West Germany.

That put them into the third-place play-off against Brazil, which they won. After failing to get past round two four years later, they produced another third-place finish at Spain ‘82. That was after losing their semi-final against Italy, but they beat France in that third place play off. Those two third place finished remain their best ever results from World Cup appearances.

Poland made it to the round of sixteen in 1986 and then they missed the following three World Cup editions before reappearing on the World Stage in 2002 and 2006. They went home after the group stage in both of those appearances. Overall their record from previous World Cup appearances is W15 D5 L11 which isn’t bad at all.

Poland World Cup Predictions

Poland are 7/4 to win Group H at bet365* (betting odds taken on April 26th, 2018 at 9:02 p.m.) and that is a price which offers plenty of value. Colombia are nothing to be feared at the moment and Poland can make a decent fist of going out and winning the group. Actually what lies ahead in the round of sixteen (most likely England or Belgium) will give them a good chance of going as deep even as the quarter finals. The goals of Lewandowski is a major asset.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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