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Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips – 12th May 2018

9th May 2018 / lee
Championship Betting

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Championship, 12th May 5.15pm

Boro produced a strong finish to the end of the regular season to lock down a top-six finish and they will be a threat in this tie even though they are underdogs to qualify. They have been producing very strong form at the Riverside and will want to take their chances in the first leg on home soil. Aston Villa finished seven points above them but the Villains have been struggling a bit for positive form away from home. The second leg will be played on May 15th and the winner will play the winner of the Derby v Fulham tie.

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Betting Odds*

Middlesbrough 6/5, Draw 11/5, Aston Villa 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 2:23 a.m. on May 8th, 2018)

Middlesbrough News and Form

Boro have had a good end of season run with a W3 D1 record in their last four played, holding their nerve together well. They have scored exactly two goals in five of their last six games played so are flowing well up front. At the Riverside, they have won each of their last three games and seven of their last eight there. So they should be a force to be reckoned with in this one and in the bet365 correct score market a Middlesbrough 1-0 option is at 5/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:33 p.m. on May 8th, 2018). They know that they will be in for a tough away game after this so they have to press home their advantage at the Riverside. Boro have scored in each of their last eight home and at least two in each of their last three there. Overall home and away combined they are on a fourteen match scoring streak. So they have scoring power behind them and defensively they have done well at home too having conceded just 0.74 goals per game on average across the season. Just 39% of their home games made it over the 2.5 goal line and this should be tight.

Aston Villa News and Form

Villa haven’t quite been at the races, not the road lately. They did manage to hold down fourth place in the league, but they are just W1 D1 L3 in their last five road games. They are a very strong home side though so anything that they can get out of this will enhance their chances in the second leg. Villa returned an average of 1.3 goals per game away from home across the seasons while they conceded an average of a goal per game. In eight of their road games during the season Aston Villa were 0-0 at half time which doesn’t look a bad punt in this one. Overall they were level at half-time in 10 of their 23 away games. They may see this as a test of survival more than anything and both teams not to score with bet365 is at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 6:33 p.m. on May 8th, 2018). Their overall away form for the season reads W10 D4 L9 and they were really on a good stretch of away form (W5 L1) before collapsing at the end of the season. Villa lost four of their five away games during the regular season against the other top six finishers.

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa To Qualify Odds*

Aston Villa 4/7, Middlesbrough 5/4* (Betting Odds taken at 2:23 a.m. on May 8th, 2018)

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Head to Head

Aston Villa were on top in the league meetings between these two this season, collecting four points from the two games. Boro did take a win at Villa Park in an EFL Cup meeting as well though. But in the league meetings, Boro did not get a goal on the board against the Villains. In the last six league matches between them, Aston Villa are W2 D3 L1 against Boro so it is all pretty tight. Boro have failed to win any of their last five home games against Villa (D1 L4).

Who will win – Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Predictions

Middlesbrough have to be a bit of value to collect a home win in this one as they have to recognise that they need to earn a lead at the Riverside to make the second leg easier. They have been carrying good home form and are value in the match outright to sneak the win.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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