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Liverpool v Roma Prediction & Betting Tips – 24th April 2018

22nd April 2018 / lee
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Liverpool v Roma UEFA Champions League, 24th April 7.45pm

After their tremendous job against Manchester City in the quarter finals, Liverpool will look to make the most of home advantage in the first leg of their semi-final tie against Roma. Liverpool have already proven that they have the firepower to destroy defences, so will Roma be able to produce a defensive display good enough to withstand the Reds’ pressure? The Italians produced a stunning fightback to knockout Barcelona in the last round though and that will be in the back of the minds of the Reds.

Liverpool v Roma Betting Odds*

Liverpool 1/2, Draw 10/3, Roma 11/2* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018)

Liverpool News and Form

The Reds have such a great record from previous European Cup semi-final appearances, winning seven of their previous nine. They did suffer a loss in their last one though which was against Chelsea in the 2007/08 season. But after a decade away they are back in the final four and face up to Roma. Liverpool hold a W4 L2 record in two-legged knockout ties against Italian opposition in Europe, winning the last two. Liverpool are behind W9 D5 L11 in previous individual matches against Italian opposition though. This will be their first meeting with a Serie A side since a 2012/13 UEFA Europa League meeting with Udinese when the two of produced respective home wins. Liverpool’s home record against Italian opposition is W6 D0 L4, losing two of their last three at Anfield.

Liverpool have shown strength in attack this season and over 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018) which will appeal to punters. Liverpool remain unbeaten at Anfield this season in Europe after producing a W2 D1 record in the group stage, before confident and big wins on home soil against Porto and then Man City in the knockout stages. Liverpool will once again be looking towards Mo Salah to deliver the goods as he goes up against the side who sold him to Liverpool in the summer. Liverpool have only suffered the one home defeat all season at Anfield across all options (W16 D8) and they hit the back of the net in all but three of those. They know they aren’t going to get an easy game in Rome, can they give themselves a nice cushion ahead of that?

Roma News and Form

Roma produced one of the all-time classic comebacks of Champions League history with a 3-0 success against Barcelona in the second leg of their quarter-final duel. That was after a heavy 4-1 loss at the Nou Camp. At the centre of their revival with important goals was Edin Dzeko and is the main anytime goalscorer option for the visitors. In the correct score market at bet365 a Liverpool 2/1 jointly with a 1-1 draw, are the shortest-priced options at 7/1* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). Roma have only been to one previous European Cup semi-finals, which was in 1983/84 against Dundee United. The Italians prevailed on that occasion. Their form against English sides isn’t great because after winning their first three two-legged sides against English opponents, they have lost each of the last six. They have been to England this season already, playing out a 3-3 draw at Chelsea in the group stage.

Roma have produced only the one win in their last 16 games in England (D6 L9). Their only victory in England being at Liverpool in their 2000/01 UEFA Cup tie. In the round of sixteen Rome fought back from having lost the first leg away from home against Shakhtar Donetsk, the same as they did against Barcelona in the quarter finals. So they have a lot of spirit and a lot of character and even if they don’t come out on top at Anfield, they won’t be out of the tie. Both teams to score in the first leg is at 4/9 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 3:24 p.m. on April 20th, 2018). The Giallorossi have only won six of their last 25 Champions League games (D8 L11) but have won five of their last nine. There is no shortage of self belief there, clearly.

Liverpool v Roma Head to Head

The most famous of the five previous meetings between Liverpool and Roma was their first one, the 1984 European Cup Final, which was the first ever to go to a penalty shoot out. Liverpool won that. Their next meeting was in the 2000/01 UEFA Cup fourth round, with Liverpool taking a 2-0 lead in Rome, before losing 1-0 back at home. Liverpool went on to win the tournament that season. They were then paired up in the 2001/02 UEFA Champions League second group stage with a 0-0 draw in Rome and a 2-0 win for Liverpool back at Anfield.

Who will win – Liverpool v Roma Predictions

You know what you are going to get from Liverpool. They have only a Plan A and that’s it. While that works for them clearly, it will leave them a little exposed at the back and Roma are good enough to get themselves on the scoresheet. Home win and both teams to score.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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