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Leeds v Derby Prediction & Betting Tips, 15th May 2019

13th May 2019 / lee
Championship Betting

Leeds v Derby Championship Preview, 15th May 7.45pm

Leeds shook off some poor form at the end of the regular season to give themselves an advantage going into the second leg of this playoff semi-final. Leeds will head back to Elland Road with a 1-0 advantage in the tie now. Will that be enough for the Whites to hold on and make it through? Will Derby have enough about them to mount a comeback? Read our Leeds v Derby betting tips for more.

Leeds v Derby Betting Odds*

Leeds 8/11
Draw 13/5
Derby 15/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)

Leeds News and Form

Leeds have a good advantage behind them now for this playoff tie. They badly needed that positive at Pride Park in the first leg of this semi-final too, as they fell out of form at the end of the regular season. Leeds took just the one point from their final four league games of the season. So they were struggling there and had lost back to back away games as well. Across the course of the regular season, Leeds posted a W14 D4 L5 record for the season at Elland Road. In their last five games of the regular season though they only posted a W2 D1 L2 record, taking one point from their final two games played.

Leeds averaged 1.65 goals per home game in the course of the regular season and had their defensive strengths as well. They conceded at an under a goal per game on average. In total Leeds earned a clean sheet in 39% of their home fixtures. They finished the regular season on a four-match scoring streak of form at Elland Road, and they were level at the halftime break in 12 of their home fixtures. Leeds scored 63% of their home goals in the second period of matches and they opened the scoring in 14 of their games. The Whites closed out the season with the fifth best home record of all teams in the Championship and the third-best defence overall.

Derby News and Form

The Rams were carrying great form through to the end of the regular season with them, so it was a little surprising that they let the home advantage slip in this tie. The Rams were on a four-match winning streak of form before the loss against Leeds in this first game of this tie. Now, what can they come up with on the road? Derby are unbeaten in their last three away games, drawing two of those. Across the course of the regular season, they came up with seven away wins in a W7 D7 L9 record. They lost three of their five away games against the top five finishers.

Derby averaged 1.26 goals per away game, conceding at an average of 1.5 per road game. They did struggle for their away clean sheets, taking one in just 13% of their road fixtures. Of the seven wins that they did take away from home during the season, five of them were by a one-goal margin. Five of their nine away defeats were by a one-goal margin only. Derby finished the season on a six-match scoring streak, but how costly will that blank at Pride Park be? Derby only managed to open the scoring in one away game. They are going to have their work cut out for them.

Leeds v Derby Tips & Odds

Leeds to win by a one-goal margin at 13/5
Under 2.5 goals at 10/11
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 12th, 2019 at 3:28 p.m.)

Who will win – Leeds v Derby Predictions

The confidence that Leeds will have taken from their first leg success will have been huge. They can afford to be patient now and take the string out of this second leg. Another low scoring game could be on the cards. Leeds to win to nil.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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