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Japan v Poland Prediction & Betting Tips – World Cup 2018

28th June 2018 / lee
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Japan v Poland - World Cup 2018

Japan v Poland World Cup 2018, 28th June – 3.00 p.m

Not many would have predicted that it would be Japan who are sitting top of Group H heading into the final round of matches in Group H. It means that they only need a point out of this game to move ahead to the knockout stage. As for Poland they have been hugely disappointing and have nothing left to play for other than a bit of pride. Read our Japan v Poland betting tips for how we think this game is going to play out.

Japan v Poland Betting Odds*

Japan 8/5
Poland 21/10
Draw 21/10
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on June 25th, 2018 at 11:43 p.m.)

Japan v Poland Betting Tips

This is a bit of a surprise scenario for Japan who are heading up Group H at the 2018 World Cup. They just need to hold their group and get a point out of this to guarantee a spot in the next round. In order to top the group they have to do better than what Senegal manage against Colombia in their game (including goal difference). Japan have shown a lot of character at this tournament, having plugged away to get a 2-1 win over Colombia in their opening game, taking full advantage of the South Americans losing a man to a red card early in the match. Japan naturally bossed possession and kept working until they got their winner. Then it was a battling 2-2 draw against Senegal, having fallen behind twice in the game. So they haven’t let up and we are looking at both teams to score in this one which is 4/5 odds at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken from June 25th, 2018 at 11:43 p.m.).

No player has scored more than one goal for the Blue Samurai yet at the World Cup 2018 and their shortest priced option in the anytime goalscorer market is Yuya Osako at 2/1 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from June 25th, 2018 at 11:43 p.m.). So we have seen plenty of determination from Japan and here they are facing a Poland side who have already been eliminated, surprisingly. So there is a good chance that Japan can get just what they need out of this fixture really. Japan are W2 D2 L2 in their last six games and they have scored exactly two goals in each of their last three games (W2 D1). So they have hit a bit of form but they are not tight at the back and have not collected a clean sheet in any of their last eight games played. Four of Japan’s last five games have ended over 2.5 goals.


Poland have not been short of shots this tournament as they have averaged ten per game. The problem for them has been getting the ball in the back of the net. They have scored just the one goal so far with was an 86th-minute consolation against Senegal in their opener. They were pounded 3-0 in their second match by Colombia and were a distant second best in that game. It has been a surprisingly disappointing campaign from the Europeans then as they looked as if they were going to be in with a chance of getting through to the next round from this competitive group. Robert Lewandowski is the 20/21 anytime goalscorer favourite at bet365* (Betting Odds were taken from June 25th, 2018 at 11:43 p.m.). Poland’s form over their last six games reads W2 D1 L3.

The Poles were strong through their World Cup qualification process but it has fallen away badly since. They have won just two of their last eight games, losing four of those and they have failed to score in four of those eight games as well. But that, of course, is not the only problem because they have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five fixtures now so they look there for the taking. Over 2.5 goals at bet365 looks a very solid betting tip for Japan v Poland and that is at a great quote of 21/20 odds* (Betting Odds were taken from June 25th, 2018 at 11:43 p.m.).

Japan v Poland Head to Head

Japan and Poland have met twice before and it the Japanese who have won both of those games, scoring seven unanswered goals in the process actually. The most recent meeting between them was in March 2002.

Who will win – Japan v Poland Predictions

Credit is due to Japan because they have shown good resilience and persistence throughout this tournament. Poland have been poor and we can see the Blue Samurai getting a point out of this and taking a surprise berth in the next round which is going to be good news for either Belgium or England. Back the draw.





The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!




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