How to Make Fixed Odds Football Betting Work For You28th February 2019 / Julian
Football….it’s a game of opinions. We’ve all got one: who the best team/player in the world is, who is under-rated, who is out of their depth etc. Some people are happy to sit in their armchairs and keep their opinions to themselves, whereas others want their voice to be heard. One way in which you can achieve this is via fixed odds football betting.
It is all well and good saying ‘I think Team A will beat Team B because…..’, but it’s only when there is a financial implication to such a statement that you can really feel the benefit of a well-informed and insightful opinion.
There are whole stacks of articles out there regarding how to make fixed odds football betting work for you, but really these can all be condensed into a number of key, salient points:
Do Your Homework
It’s no good just adding selections to your betslip willy-nilly; you need to know every possible angle before parting with your hard-earned cash. So yes, you might THINK that Manchester United are going to beat Stoke City easily because that’s your preconception of the teams involved, but what do the stats imply?
It is easy to become drowned in the sea of statistics that are available, but there’s no need; using some of the fantastic resources listed on this website to aid you in fixed odds football betting, but really you should know:
- Overall form of the two teams
- Home form/away form
- Head-to-head records
- Injuries and suspensions
- Player form
- Upcoming fixtures
Once we have all of these ingredients in place, only then can we achieve the level of insight required to bet smart.
Respect the Bookies
You know those odds that the bookmakers present to you? Those aren’t plucked out of the air at random. They employ a team of number bods and odds compilers to help come up with the prices based on the probability of an event happening (with a margin built in to protect their long term financial stability).
So you have to respect the bookmakers because frankly: they very rarely get their prices completely wrong. Forget Leicester City winning the Premier League at 5000/1 – it might take another 5000 years for something like that to happen! If a scenario is 100/1 then it is statistically 50 times less likely to happen that something that is 2/1….despite what you might think.
Stick to Your Guns
Once you’ve picked out a few fixed odds tips that have caught your eye never waver: stick to your guns and back them.
It is easy to lose your nerve when clicking ‘place bet’ or handing your slip over to the cashier, but if you have done your homework and paid due diligence to the bookmakers’ prices, then make sure you see your wager through. More often than not you’ll be glad you did.
This is the area which brings many punters down. When you’ve been given some red hot fixed odds betting tips, the temptation is to go out and spend more money than you ordinarily would on them. But why?
We know sports betting, and football in particular, are unpredictable, and so ultimately no bet is guaranteed or a ‘dead cert’. We must treat each wager we place with the same amount of respect as any other; and that goes for your staking plan too.
Many of the most successful bettors on the planet keep to a level staking plan, which means that they stake the same amount for every bet they place – no matter how confident they are in it. This enables them to manage their long-term profit and loss, and keep a steady hand on their bankroll.
How do you know if your betting is successful if you don’t keep track of your wagers? Often, your bankroll balance doesn’t tell the whole story….
Maybe you are strong at betting in the win-draw-win markets, but seem to struggle when placing wagers in categories such as correct score, both teams to score, first/anytime goalscorer etc. If you want to ensure long-term success in football betting, understanding your strengths and eliminating your weaknesses is essential.
Focus on a Specialism
Linked to the above, make sure you focus on a specific area of fixed odds football betting to ensure you continue to get better at it. As they say, practice makes perfect….
So stick with a particular market type, even if your first few results aren’t great, and make you become a fount of knowledge about your area of expertise. If you focus on goals betting, for instance, you should know the probability of a particular team scoring against another like it is second nature to you.
Fixed Odds Football Tipsters….Are They Any Good?
The simple answer to this question is some are, some aren’t. If you are a Twitter or Facebook user then you may have noticed the proliferation of ‘expert tipsters’ on those platforms. But ask yourselves – and them, if you like – what qualifies them as an expert? Ask to check their full betting history dating back three months or more….do they make profit? Before you leap in with both feet make sure you do your background checks on those offering so-called expert fixed odds football tips, you’ll be glad you did in the long run.
For us, the joy of fixed odds football betting comes from doing your research and unearthing some value in this way. Then, make you sure you wager an amount you are comfortable with and that is a small percentage of your overall bankroll, say 1-5%. This way, you can enjoy longer term betting success without that sinking feeling of losing bet, after bet, after bet, after bet……
The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+
* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!
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