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Germany World Cup 2018 Predictions – Group Stage & Winner Odds

23rd May 2018 / lee
World Cup 2018 Betting

Germany at the World Cup 2018

What an occasion it would be for Germany if they could repeat their success of four years ago in Brazil. The Germans head to Russia 2018 as the reigning world champions after their success over Argentina in the 2014 final. If they could pull off a repeat and win the World Cup this summer they would move level with Brazil and their record haul of five World Cup titles. In doing so they would also become just third nation ever to have successfully retained World Cup title. The only other two nations to have won back-to-back world cups are Italy and of course, Brazil.

The challenge of Germany at Russia 2018 is going to be strong and they are 9/4 joint favourites at bet365* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to win the tournament outright, along with Brazil. Germany just look as strong as ever but this time around they actually appear to be carrying a little more weight in the attacking department than they were in their successful campaign four years ago. That could well be bad news for the rest of the contenders.

Germany World Cup 2018 Fixtures – Group Stage

Germany’s World Cup campaign kicks off on June 17, which is incidentally the same day as Brazil start their campaign. Germany launch their title defence with a game against Mexico and that naturally will be a game that the Germans will be expected to win and indeed Germany are 1/2 odds-on favourites* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to pick up maximum points in the fixture. While the Mexicans are pretty fearless and always carry plenty of energy with them, the experience, talent and depth of Germany is expected to win the day.

So getting a good three points on the board in their opener would settle any nerves for Germany in their title defence. Germany’s second match is on the 23rd, which is on Saturday and that will potentially be their toughest game of Group F. Germany will going into an all-European showdown against Sweden, who looked pretty sharp through their qualification campaign including taking a good win over France. So there could just be a little bit of a banana skin there for Germany but when it comes to tournament football, the efficiency and power of Germany rarely lets them down. Germany are 1/2 odds-on favourites with bet365* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to beat Sweden.

Germany will then round of their group stage campaign when they take on South Korea on Wednesday, June 27. By all accounts that should be Germany’s easiest game of the group, and if they have got maximum points on the board from their previous two games in Group F, that will be a bonus for the Germans as it may afford them the luxury of being able to rest a player or two ahead of the knockout stage. Germany are 4/9 odds-on favourites* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to win World Cup Group F in the summer, with Mexico actually the second favourites.

It’s hard to see Germany letting themselves fall to a defeat in any of those fixtures and they have been strong, as they always tend to be, over the last couple of years since their failed Euro 2016 campaign.

Knockout Stage

Working on the premise that Germany are probably going to go out and win Group F at the World Cup 2018 that would mean that they play the second placed team from Group E. This is excitingly interesting because group E contains Brazil, who are naturally expected to win the group. But there is just that exciting possibility of either Brazil or Germany winning their group while the other one only finishing second which would create a Brazil v Germany round of 16 clash which would be a heavyweight battle at such an early stage.

But Brazil and Germany are favourites to win their respective groups so that means Germany would most likely face Switzerland instead in the round of 16. The Swiss produced a good qualification campaign almost beating Portugal to top spot in the group, but still they would be heavy underdogs if they were to face the Germans in the knockout stage of the 2018 World Cup. So with it being unlikely that Germany would fall at the first stage of the knockouts, the quarter-finals are fascinatingly interesting.

The most likely outcome for Germany is that they would face either Belgium or England in the quarter-finals. If Germany does win group E make it through to the quarter-finals, there they could potentially face the runner-up from Group G which houses Belgium and England. So there could be a really good all-European encounter again at the quarter-final stage for Germany. On the day it would still be so hard to not back Germany to find a way through just because they are so efficient, and so experienced in dealing with these kinds of situations.

So if you can see Germany make it through to the semi finals the most likely outcome there based on bookmaker odds in the 2018 World Cup outright winner market, would be another all-European affair for Germany in taking on Spain. A possible alternative to that would be that they have to deal with Argentina stage, but with the Albiceleste not looking all that great then it would likely be Spain that Germany would meet at the semi-final stage.

Germany Stage of Elimination

So just how far can Germany go once again? They are just supremely consistent having finished in the top three in each of the last three World Cup campaigns. That’s no mean feat right there and it would be a shock if they failed to get back to the semi-final stage this go around. In the Germany stage of elimination market at bet365 you have a 7/2 odds price* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) on going out in the last 16 or in the quarter-finals. They are at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to get eliminated at the semi-final stage. The Germans can be taken at 11/2 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to finish runners-up.

Germany Top Goalscorer

This interesting this time around, four years ago Germany were just relying on Thomas Muller, who competently chipped in as you would expect and Mario Gomez. This time around if they have a couple of young options to accent their attacking. There is Timo Werner right there at the head of the Germany top goalscorer market at 9/4 odds, with Muller at 10/3 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.). So that’s a little bit more on offer than they had four years ago and the key backups will be Marco Reus and the potential input from Leroy Sane.

Outright Odds* for the World Cup 2018

Germany 9/4, Brazil 9/4, France 11/4, Spain 10/3, Argentina 4/1, Belgium 5/1, England 7/1, Portugal 12/1, Uruguay 12/1, Colombia 12/1, Croatia 14/1, Poland 16/1, bar 25/1* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.)


It’s easy to overlook just how much potential Germany have, which sounds a bit strange thing to say considering how good they are on the world stage. The creativity that they have in their midfield through the likes of Leroy Sane, Mesut Ozil, Ilkay Gundogan and Toni Kroos is super but the same time quietly understated. You know the Germans are going to turn up and be tight at the back and the balance that they have through their squad is wonderful. The depth is there and they will be a threat and we are tipping them to make it all the way back to the final.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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