Five Tools That No Football Punter Should Be Without28th February 2019 / Julian
When it comes to taking a punt on the footy, everyone has their own style, system and success rate. There are scientific punters who analyse swathes upon swathes of stats before making a calculated decision. There are gut instinct players who simply follow the whims of their own rationale, however unfounded that may be.
The truth is, there is no right or wrong method when betting on football.
That said, no punter who is serious about their bets should go into a Saturday afternoon blindfolded. Here are five indispensable tools that no football punter should be without, combining the best of the scientific and gut instinct approaches. Hopefully these tips could be the difference between a whole load of losses and a tidy return.
1. Swat up on the statistics
Statistics. Football fans either love them or hate them. Cold hard numbers can provide so much insight into so many aspects of a game of football that it can sometimes seem a bit daunting to apply them to your betting strategy. This is perhaps the reason that so many punters skip this process, and it is a school-boy error to make.
It doesn’t have to be rocket science, however. Bettors can get an extensive yet easy to digest overview of the weekend’s football action on lots of sites. These websites provide breakdowns of everything from head-to-head form, to which player has scored the most first goals as well as disciplinary records.
One of the best ways to utilise statistics is in the goals and handicap markets. Simply checking the average amount of goals that a team has scored or conceded per match is a great way to determine whether it is worth placing a handicap or Asian handicap on your bet slip. It is also possible to see the percentage of goals which a team scores during different periods of the match – a great way to guide your first or last goal scorer bets.
When using stats to inform your betting, don’t just rely on last week’s numbers. Often it is best to consider the past 20 or even 30 games to get an indication of a team’s attacking and defensive form.
2. Listen to the tweeting of tipsters
Let’s face it, trawling through page after page of numbers can be a bit of a blag and perhaps not the best way to spend a Saturday morning. So why not get someone else to do it for you?
Social media – most notably Twitter – and the blogosphere is chock-full of tipsters who dish out betting advice on the daily. Admittedly, taking someone else’s advice might take the fun and pride out of compiling your own betslip. But the truth of the matter is that these guys tend to know what they are talking about – the reputation depends on it.
We’re not saying that you should take their word for gospel because, like any punter out there, they’re not always right. But checking out which bets the tipsters are backing is a great tool to use, especially if you are short on time and ideas.
3. Shop around for the best odds
Once you have done a bit of your own research and checked out what the “experts” are saying, you will probably have a pretty good idea of the bets that you want to place. But before you place them, there is another vital tool that you should use – an odds comparison website.
Any smart consumer would shop around before buying. The same should apply to any smart football punter. Instead of simply checking out a few of your favourite sportsbooks, you can get a far more comprehensive picture of where the best value odds are by using a website like ours.
We full coverage of football odds in leagues around the world, from the English Premier League to the Rwandan National League. Here punters can find odds from a variety of betting markets with comparions of all of the major betting sites laid out in a easily navigated table.
Of course, not every bettor has the time or the desire to create an account at each and every betting site on the internet. But it would be unwise to overlook these comparison sites as a tool when it comes to placing a wager on the footy. Plus, if nothing else, shrewd punters might be able to pick up patterns between which betting sites tend to offer more valuable odds on certain markets and which sites do not.
4. Make the most of your betslip
Many casual punters view the betslip as nothing more than a stepping stone between choosing your odds, placing the wager and confirming the bet. However, the humble betslip on any good sportsbook offers so much more than that.
From straighforward accumulators to Lucky 15s and beyond, the betslip is a tool that can open up a whole new world of betting possibilities. With just four selections on the betslip, bettors have the option to place Singles, Doubles, Trebles, Fourfolds, Yankees and Lucky 15s, allowing them to increase their potential return or spread the risk and limit the losses.
Getting to know the ins and outs of combination and permutation bets might seem a bit daunting at first, but it really isn’t too complicated. Plus, most betslips at major sportsbooks include the potential returns and a small information icon which will break it all down for you. The
5. Hone your instinct into a valuable tool
There are bettors out there who try to suppress it, with some good reason. And there are punters out there who, perhaps foolishly, embrace it. Gut instinct. It can make or break a bet, but if used right it is one of the most powerful tools that a football punter has at their disposal.
The key to utilising that feeling in your tummy is to hone it with all of the other tools that we have suggested. It would be catastrophic to let your emotions rule your decisions when it comes to placing a bet on the football. After all, the beautiful game elicits so much passion from fans up and down the country.
So, before you go and back a local lower league team to beat a Premier League giant in the FA Cup, take a step back and access the situation. Is the game being played at a small stadium on a playing surface that suits the hoof-it-forward approach rather than sharp, zippy passing? Does the minnow team team have a history of causing upsets in the cup? Will the Premier League team field a team of reserves? If you can answer the right questions regarding form, environment and the nature of football itself, then you might just be able to justify your gut feelings.
Another way in which your instinct can play an integral role is when you are betting live in-play. Whether you are watching the game live on television or following live stats, you can often get a pretty good idea of how a game is going to unfold. This instinct could be the difference between cashing out at the right time or holding on for the full payout.
Gut instinct is readily shunned by some football punters as a weak and lazy way of betting. But, at the end of the day, your gut instinct is formed by years and years of following football, so it isn’t completely unfounded. Oftentimes, that sixth sense can be backed up with a bit of research, analysis and reassurance from other bettors. And if you’re still not entirely sure, you can always cover the risk and limit your losses with the right betting permutation on multiple bets.
The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+
* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!
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