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Exeter v Lincoln Prediction & Betting Tips, 17th May 2018

15th May 2018 / lee
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Exeter v Lincoln League Two Preview, 17th May 7.45pm

There is still everything to play for in this one after Lincoln play out at 0-0 draw at Sincil Bank in the first leg. So with the Imps missing the boat on home soil, does that shift favouritism and power over to Exeter? The Grecians produced a fine home record across the season and they have some home from going over Lincoln as well.

Exeter v Lincoln Betting Odds*

Exeter 21/20, Lincoln 13/8, Draw 12/5* (Betting Odds taken at 06:22 p.m. on May 14th, 2018)

Exeter News and Form

The Grecians had a fine season on home soil in League Two posting a W15 D4 L4 record at St James’ Park. They rattled off a seven match undefeated streak of form at home to close out the season with and they scored in each of their last five there. Their defence was pretty immense at home and they boasted the best home record in the division. Exeter conceded 19 goals in their 23 home games at an average of 0.8 per game. Going forward they averaged 1.5 goals per game. In the bet365 correct score market the 1-1 draw is the shortest priced option at 11/2 but the Exeter 1-0 is right there at 6/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 06:22 p.m. on May 14th, 2018). They earned a clean sheet in 43% of their home fixtures this season and they were sitting at 1-0 at halftime in 40% of their home games across the season which could be a decent betting option to consider. Overall home and away they had netted in each of their final eleven games of the season and across the course of the regular season, seventeen of their twenty four wins were by a one goal margin only. Exeter to win by a one goal margin is at 3/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 06:22 p.m. on May 14th, 2018).

Lincoln News and Form

So did Lincoln miss their chance on home soil in the first leg? The Imps have lost two of their last three on the road and both defeats in that sequence were 1-0 losses. During the regular season Lincoln lost four of their five away games against the top five finishers and that is a big concern for them in this one (D1). They just didn’t deliver in their big away games although their defence wasn’t all that bad on their travels as they conceded at just over a goal per game on average. They took a clean sheet in 35% of their road games. That just hints at this being another tight game and both teams not to score at bet365 is at 8/11 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 06:22 p.m. on May 14th, 2018). Just 35% of their away games this season ended up over 2.5 goals another hint that the second leg is just going to be as tight. Just twice this season were Lincoln winning at half time away from home and they scored 69% of their away goals in the second half of matches while they conceded 64% of their away goals in the first half of games. Their defence did stand up pretty well across the season but with just one goal in their last three games now, will they be able to break the equally tough Exeter defence?

Exeter v Lincoln Head to Head

During the regular season, the two of them traded home wins in League Two. In the last five meetings, Exeter are W3 D1 L1 up in the head to head against Lincoln and they won their last three home games in a row against them and are unbeaten in their last six home fixtures against the Imps. Both teams have scored in just two of the last seven meetings so this will probably be tight. Eight of the last ten meetings have finished under 2.5 goals.

Who will win – Exeter v Lincoln Predictions

Exeter should be able to convert from here now on home soil where they have been strong all season. They have a fantastic defence and with the Imps struggling for away form and goals then the Grecians can edge this in a low scoring match.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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