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Colombia World Cup 2018 Predictions – Group Stage & Winner Odds

29th March 2018 / lee
World Cup 2018 Betting

Colombia caused some waves when they turned up at Brazil 2014 and made it through to the quarter finals. It was the tournament where James Rodriguez, currently with Bayern Munich really announced his arrival in the game, winning the Golden Boot and the Best Goal of the Tournament as well. However, heading to Russia 2018, Los Cafeteros have been struggling for form.

Colombia Nickname: Los Cafeteros
Head Coach: José Pékerman
FIFA World Ranking: 13th

Qualification Campaign

The qualification campaign was not all plain sailing for Colombia by any stretch of the imagination. CONMEBOL is such a tough qualification zone to come through and Colombia had their problems. They suffered early setbacks against Argentina and Uruguay which meant that they had a slow start to the campaign. But to their credit, they did get themselves going with a good stretch of form that made them look pretty decent shot to make it through to Russia 2018 via the automatic qualification spots.

But in mid 2017 things started to fall apart for them. Los Cafeteros failed to win any of their last five qualification matches (D3 L2) and that left them sweating. In their six games against the final top three finishes in the group (Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina), Colombia collected just the two points, so they were struggling to keep pace with the best. They were in a precarious position as well going into the last round of qualification matches.

First and foremost they had to avoid defeat against Peru who were a point behind them in the table, but with a worse goal difference. It was Peru who they faced away from home in their final group stage match so the pressure was really on. However, if they were to have lost that, they could have finished either fifth (the inter confederations play off spot) or sixth. So they were hoping that Chile would not pull off a shock against Brazil to drop them out of the running altogether if they themselves had lost against Peru.

Chile didn’t pull of a shock, losing 3-0 to the Selecao, while Colombia played out a 1-1 draw with Peru to grab fourth place by the skin of their teeth. It was not a comfortable journey at any time of proceedings for them. They have struggled for wins since last summer and that is going to be a big concern for head coach José Pékerman as they head off to the World Cup as favourites to win their group. Can they deliver?

Stage of Elimination

Colombia are 5/4 odds at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 28th, 2018 at 9:52 p.m.) to win their group at the World Cup ahead of Poland. The rest of the group should be pretty easy picking for them as they face Senegal and Japan as well. They open with what should be their easiest game as they take on Japan and three points there means that they can go forward with nerves settled and then a point against the Poles in their second game wouldn’t be a bad return before finishing against Senegal.

It’s going to be a big boost for them to get their easy game first because they look like a side who need a bit of confidence. While they should be able to haul themselves out of the group, it is pretty debatable as to whether or not they have the quality to take things further. It doesn’t immediately appear that they do and therefore 11/8 odds at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 28th, 2018 at 9:32 p.m.) on them going home at the round of sixteen looks to be around the right mark. The qualified teams from this group will meet one of the two qualifiers from England’s group.

They do have some familiar faces running through their squad, from Arsenal keeper David Ospina to Tottenham’s Davinson Sánchez, to Juan Cuadrado and James Rodriguez. Then, of course, there is their record goalscorer Radamel Falcao who at 34, will probably be appearing on the world stage for the last time.

Colombia World Cup 2018 Fixtures & Odds*

June 19th: Colombia 5/6, Draw 5/2, Japan 10/3
June 24th: Colombia 8/5, Poland 19/10, Draw 2/1
June 28th: Colombia even money, Draw 12/5, Senegal 11/4* (all betting odds taken on March 28th, 2018 at 9:32 p.m.)

World Cup Winner Odds*

Brazil 4/1, Germany 9/2, France 13/2, Spain 6/1, Argentina 10/1, Belgium 11/1, England 18/1, Portugal 25/1, Uruguay 33/1, Croatia 33/1, Colombia 40/1, Russia 40/1, Poland 50/1* (betting odds taken on March 28th, 2018 at 9:32 p.m.)

Past World Cup Performances

When Colombia turned up at the 2014 World Cup they were a bit of an unknown quantity as they had failed to make it the previous three editions. Their appearance at Brazil 2014 was just their fifth appearance ever in the world cup. Their only appearance since the inception of the tournament through to 1986 came in Chile 1962 when they failed to get past the group stage.

Even with the unforgettable icon that is Carlos Valderrama ticking them over in the 90’s, they could only make group stage finished at USA ‘95 and France ‘98 after having made it through to the round of sixteen at Italia ‘90. From their previous World Cup matches, Colombia holds a P18 W7 D2 L9 record. They did win more games at Brazil 2014 than they had in their previous four appearances combined.

Colombia World Cup Predictions

Colombia have not looked in great form at all for some time really and probably aren’t as well rounded out as they were four years ago. The biggest issue that they look to have is at the back, where they look really weak and vulnerable and that is going to be a huge issue for them to overcome at the tournament. It is not the kind of defence that looks likely to carry them beyond the round of sixteen, so Los Cafeteros at 11/8 odds at bet365* (betting odds taken on March 28th, 2018 at 9:32 p.m.) are likely to be bowing out in the first knockout stage.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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