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Burnley v Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips, 12th May 2019

10th May 2019 / lee

Burnley v Arsenal Premier League Preview, 12th May 3.00pm

Burnley have lost their last two league fixtures now and are winless in three. They start the weekend in 15th and will either finish there or one place, either way, depending on this result. Arsenal realistically blew their shot at the top four finish last weekend with a draw against Brighton. The Gunners have to win this and somehow overturn an eight-goal swing in the goal difference to Spurs. Read our Burnley v Arsenal betting tips for more.

Burnley v Arsenal Betting Odds*

Arsenal 11/10
Burnley 11/5
Draw 11/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)

Burnley News and Form

The Clarets have lost their last two league games, failing to get on the scoresheet in either of those. They have won just the seven games at Turf Moor this season (D2 L9), but five of those have been since December 30th. Burnley have posted a W1 L4 record at home against the top six teams this season, their lone success in that sequence coming against Spurs. Burnley have averaged 1.3 goals per home fixture but in each of their last five home Premier League games, they have scored exactly two goals. The Clarets were on a twelve match scoring streak at home before losing 1-0 to Man City in their last home fixture.

In their last five home games, Burnley are W2 L3 and the two successes in that sequence were 2-0 victories over Wolves and Cardiff. The Clarets have earned a clean sheet in 28% of home games this season and each of their last three have ended under 2.5 goals. Of the home defeats which have gone against them this season, six of the nine have been by at least a two-goal margin. Burnley have scored 61% of their home goals in the first period of games. Only the current bottom three plus Bournemouth have conceded more league goals this season in the top flight than Burnley have. The Clarets start the weekend in 15th place and will either finish there or one place either way.

Burnley v Arsenal Head to Head

Arsenal were 3-1 winners at home over Burnley in December
The Gunners are on a nine-match winning streak against the Clarets
Burnley have lost their last three home games 1-0 against Arsenal
Both teams have scored in three of the last eight meetings

Arsenal News and Form

Arsenal could only manage a home draw against Brighton last weekend. That was costly as it means that they are highly unlikely to finish in the top four. In order to that, they have to claim maximum points, hope that Spurs lose and overturn an 8-goal deficit in the process. The Gunners have really tanked in their form at the end of the season. They are W1 D1 L4 in their last six league games now. Most of their troubles have come away from home as well where they are on a three-match losing streak, scoring just the one goal in that sequence.

Arsenal had a big extra shift in midweek too, beating Valencia to reach the Europa League Final. So that is where their focus will be, win that and they will reach the Champions League. 72% of Arsenal’s away games this season in the EPL have gone over 2.5 goals and a 1-0 win at Watford in the middle of April has been their only clean sheet away from the Emirates all term. Both teams have scored in 78% of Arsenal’s away games. The Gunners have averaged 1.5 goals per game on the road, conceding at an average of 1.9 per game. Five of their six away wins have been by a one-goal margin.

Burnley v Arsenal Tips & Odds

Both teams to score at 8/15
Burnley – Draw Double Chance at 3/4
* (Betting Odds were taken from bet365 on May 6th, 2019 at 9:40 p.m.)

Who will win – Burnley v Arsenal Predictions

Arsenal’s top four ambitions really or already done and dusted. It’s been such poor form from them lately that it’s easy and reasonable enough to see Burnley getting under their skin at Turf Moor. Burnley-draw double chance looks a good proposition.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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