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Brazil World Cup 2018 Predictions – Group Stage & Winner Odds

23rd May 2018 / lee
World Cup 2018 Betting

Brazil at the World Cup 2018

Four years ago on home soil Brazil looked as if they are on course to get their hands on World Cup title for the sixth time in their history. But no one could have foreseen what happened in the semi finals when they met Germany. Brazil were humiliated in front of their home support, losing 7-1 against Germans. The nature of that defeat will have left a scar on the Selecao, but four years on, they actually look stronger and better equipped to make a run at the title then last time. After a smooth qualification campaign will they be able to translate their form into a 2018 World Cup success?

Brazil are joint 4/6 favourites at bet365* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) alongside Germany to do so.

The one concern about the challenge of Brazil is in the fitness and match sharpness of their superstar Neymar. He underwent surgery on his foot in March and was given a three-month recovery time. But while he may well be fit again to actually take part in the World Cup, and was named in the provisional squad, there are going to be huge doubts about his sharpness after missing the back end of the domestic season for his club PSG. Can Brazil cope without him if they have to?

Brazil World Cup 2018 Fixtures – Group Stage

Brazil will become pretty confident about progressing through the group stage as group winners. The Selecao go in Group E where they will be taking on Switzerland, Costa Rica and Serbia. So on the surface of things that doesn’t look to be too much to trip up Brazil there and the Brazilians are 2/5 odds at bet365 to win Group E* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.). Brazil get their World Cup campaign underway on Sunday, June 17 when they take on European challengers Switzerland. That is likely to be Brazil’s trickiest challenge in the first round. There have been three previous meetings between Switzerland and Brazil and the head to head is actually even with one win each and one drawn game.

The last time they met was in a friendly in 2013 and Switzerland took a 1-0 win over the Selecao. In their one previous World Cup encounter which was back in 1950, that game produced a 2-2 draw. So even though Switzerland, who were good through qualification in the UEFA zone, are likely to present Brazil their toughest challenge, the Brazilians are still 2/5 odds-on favourites* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to win their opening fixture at Russia 2018.

Things will get easier for Brazil from there as they go up against heavy underdogs Costa Rica in their second match. Brazil will be hoping to get maximum points from their opening two games which will allow them a bit of breathing space to rest some players in their third and final group stage match. After meeting Costa Rica on June 22, Brazil will face up to their second European opponents in the form of Serbia to round out the group action with.

It’s little surprise really that the Selecao are odds-on favourites to win that one as well, and really seeing Brazil take anything less than seven points away from their group stage campaign would be a little bit of surprise. So they should be able to ease their way into proceedings and could be important, because it may well afford them some all-important game time for Neymar. There’s nothing to stop Brazil marching their way to winning the group.

Knockout Stage

It’s always interesting to look ahead at who a team could be facing in the knockout stages. With Brazil really projected to win Group E, then potentially they would be going up against either Mexico or Sweden in the round of 16. Brazil would face somebody from Group F, which does contain the reigning world champions Germany, but with the Germans expected to win their group, the two heavyweights should avoid each other. If either one manages to screw up their script and finish second while the other finishes first, there will be a massive showdown in the round of 16.

But following the path of what is expected, then Brazil meet Sweden or Mexico, and punters probably will not have a hard time projecting Brazil through to the quarter-finals. What is the most likely opponent to be waiting for them there? The answer to that is Belgium. A quarter-final spot against Brazil is where the winner of Group G, which also contains England, would end up. So again even though Belgium are probably the strongest dark horse in the competition to come through the field and win the tournament outright, you would expect Brazil to book their place in the semi finals at their expense

So looking ahead to the prospective semi-final, Brazil would then move up from the bottom half of the draw to the top half of the draw and the top-seeded team that they could then face in the semi finals would be France.

Brazil Stage of Elimination

So looking ahead and the potential draw that Brazil could be facing at Russia 2018, you really would expect them to be at the business end of things. Unless there is some crazy upset where they meet Germany in the round of 16, Brazil should pretty much a plain sailing through to the final. So where does the value in the Brazil stage of elimination betting at bet365 stand? They are 10/3 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to be knocked out in the last 16, which doesn’t look too realistic to us and the minimum of a semi-final berth should happen for the Selecao. A Brazil semi-final exit is at 9/2, while they are 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to finish as runners-up.

Brazil Top Goalscorer

Even though Brazil are not going to benefit from all the time out the Neymar has spent over the last three months in the build-up to the World Cup, it hasn’t stopped their talismanic stiker being the 6/4 odds-on favourite* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) to be Brazil’s top goalscorer at the tournament. This time around they do actually have decent backups who can carry the can if Neymar is not fully fit. The Selecao can look towards Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus for example, while they have other dynamic options in the likes of Roberto Firmino, Philippe Coutinho and Willian. They look to be far better equipped in the attacking department than they were four years ago. If Neymar isn’t quite there, then the 3/1 odds* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.) on Gabriel Jesus will likely appeal the most.

Outright Odds* for the World Cup 2018

Germany 9/4, Brazil 9/4, France 11/4, Spain 10/3, Argentina 4/1, Belgium 5/1, England 7/1, Portugal 12/1, Uruguay 12/1, Columbia 12/1, Croatia 14/1, Poland 16/1, bar 25/1* (betting odds taken on May 22, 2018 at 11:24 p.m.)


Brazil, the greatest footballing nation in the world. Habitual champions who were badly wounded last time out in their World Cup campaign. The whole balance of the squad looks much stronger, they actually look solid at the back, they have good defensive options at the base of the field, they are stacked with attacking talent in midfield and aren’t shy of a goalscorer or two.

Many will still see them as being the team to beat, with or without Neymar. Of course if Neymar is there then their chances of winning the tournament, just because of his proven goalscoring record for his country, will increase exponentially. We can easily tip Brazil taking a berth in the final itself. As it stands, there is nothing wrong with backing them to go all the way.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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