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Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips – 18th November 2017

14th November 2017 / lee
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Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid La Liga, 18th November 7.45pm

La Liga action is coming back with a bang on the weekend. It is the Madrid derby and the first time that Los Rojiblancos will have hosted their big rivals at their new Wanda Metropolitano stadium. There is a huge incentive for the home side to land a blow in this one because they would move three points clear of their rivals. Real Madrid have already had some wobbles in their domestic title defence this season. However, Real are trading as 6/5 favourites at bet365, with Atletico Madrid at 2/1. The draw is trading at 5/2.

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Tips

Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid have managed to stay undefeated this season in the Spanish top flight. At their new home, they have posted a W2 D2 L0 record from their four games and they have drawn their last two there by a 1-1 scoreline. In the bet365 correct score market, the 1-1 draw is trading at a price of 11/2 and those latest home draws by Atletico were against Barcelona and Villarreal, both fellow top five sides in the league. Compared to the outrageous scoring talents of some of the teams around them, Atletico are struggling for goals with sixteen in their eleven league matches. They are the lowest scoring side in the current top eight of the Spanish top flight.

Atletico have the best defence in the league aside from leaders Barcelona and have picked up six clean sheets in their last nine league games. You would expect nothing less from them really. Both teams to score at bet365 for this Madrid derby is a 7/10 odds on price though. Angel Correa is their top scorer this season on the domestic front and he is a 3/1 anytime goalscorer option with Antoine Griezmann way shorter at 21/10. Atletico have scored first in eight of their eleven games this season which shows how hard they are to get the better of. They have not given up a first half goal at all this season at home and in fact, the two they have conceded at the Metropolitano have both been in the final fifteen minutes of matches. A half time draw at be365 is a good price of 6/5.

Real Madrid have had their wobbles them this season with a W7 D2 L2 record so far in the Spanish top flight. They were on a great four match winning streak away from home in the league until they lost at top-flight newcomers Girona in their last away game. Overall the have gone W6 L2 in their last eight league games, not too shabby of course but while they’re starting to rack up the clean sheets at home, they have not earned one in any of their last four away games. That having been said, they have been ahead at the break in all five of their league away games this season and they have averaged above two goals per game on the road. Still, they will know that they are getting a tough game here and under 2.5 goals at bet365 is a price of 5/6.

Cristiano Ronaldo is the bet365 first goalscorer favourite at 4/1 for the game and in four appearances against Atletico last season, Ronaldo netted six goals in total through two hat tricks. Remarkably he has only the one league goal this season though. Last season the two met four times then, the two league games and in the UEFA Champions League semi finals. Real Madrid went W2 D1 L1 in those four games winning this corresponding league fixture 3-0. However, those are only two of three victories in total in their last fifteen games against Atletico in all competitions (D6 L5). In the last six league meetings only, Real Madrid have taken a W1 D2 L3 record against Atletico. This is just their second game against a side inside the current top five in the league this season after a 2-2 draw with Valencia towards the start of the season.

Who will win – Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Predictions

Atletico Madrid to win: The home side have to be a bit of value here. They can disrupt real Madrid’s plans as the visitors haven’t been going all that well this season and they are clearly vulnerable at the back. Atleti can keep this tight and scrape out a narrow in.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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