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Aston Villa v Tottenham Prediction 26th December 2012

24th December 2012 / lee
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Aston Villa

Aston Villa v Tottenham Betting Preview
This match has been all the more interesting after Villa were crushed at Stamford Bridge 8-0 by Chelsea on the weekend. What will the response from Paul Lambert’s men be, in another difficult fixture? Will they be able to fight back or will the Christmas stuffing have been knocked out of the young side? Spurs dropped points in the race for a top four finish on the weekend, being frustrated at home against Stoke. Will their superior fire power be able to get the better of things at Villa Park?

Aston Villa v Tottenham Betting Odds at online bookmaker Paddy Power
Spurs Evens, Draw 5/2, Villa 11/4

Aston Villa v Tottenham Recommended Bet:
Things were actually going quite swimmingly for Aston Villa, who were on a five match unbeaten run until they crashed into Chelsea on the weekend. Paul Lambert’s men, who have had their struggles this season, had pulled out a couple of goods wins and a few draws to pull themselves away from the drop zone. But their young side were just torn apart, beaten up, as the boss said early at the Bridge. So what next for Villa? They were defeated 2-0 at White Hart Lane earlier in the season, but they should go better at home. The Villains have actually kept three clean sheets in a row at home now, taking two draws and a win in that run, if they get another, they’ll equal their own record of four shutouts in a row. Scoring goals has been an immense problem for Villa this season, averaging just one per game, the same rate at which they have conceded at home. 75% of Villa’s home games this season have gone under 2.5 goals and you just wonder if they are worth backing to get a draw out of this game? They have to have some kind of response in them don’t they? They have clean sheets in half of their home games, so they could frustrate Spurs. All the pressure will be on their opponents really to try and follow up what Chelsea did, so Villa could get a reward out of this one. Villa took a 1-1 draw against Spurs in the corresponding fixture last season and that scoreline has happened twice in the last four meetings, the other two ending in 2-1 away wins for Spurs.

Tottenham have scored in every away match in the league this season, the only side to have done that. Tottenham have not lost any of their last eight Premier League matches against Aston Villa, winning five of them. Spurs have been in some handy form lately, winning four of their last six. They ran into a stubborn Stoke at White Hart Lane on the weekend, failing to win but keeping their third clean sheet in the last four matches. Boss Andre Villa Boas will be happy to see that, as they have dropped loads of points this season from late goals, conceding ten all season in the last fifteen minutes of games. Tottenham average two goals per game on the road this season, which is some pretty strong scoring. However, they have conceded a just under two goals, so defensively there is room for improvement. All of Tottenham’s away games have gone over 2.5 goals this season which could be a trend worth riding. They have also been very good at getting in front, opening the scoring in 13 of their 18 matches so far, so they will be expected to score first. Although Spurs have lost three of the last four in a row, they have scored first in each of their last seven away games. Emmanuel Adebayor has four goals in his last three starts against Aston Villa. It probably won’t be a big margin of victory in this one, but would just edge Spurs to get it. A Spurs -0.5 Asian Handicap for a price of 5/4 at online bookmaker Paddy Power looks decent.

Aston Villa WDDWWL, Spurs WWWLWD

Stat Attack
Spurs have not lost any of their last seven Boxing Day matches, winning five
Spurs are the only side in the top flight to have scored in every away game
Villa have lost one of their last seven at home, only winning two in that run though
VIlla have wno just one of the last 11 Boxing Day matches
Aston Villa have kept three home clean sheets in a row

Online bookmaker Promotion
Looking at Emmanuel Adebayor’s form against Villa he may be worth backing in the First Goalscorer market. Online bookmaker Paddy Power have a promotion running where they double the winning odds of any successful First Goalscorer who goes on to score again during the match. Adebayor is at 6/1 to open the scoring, with Jermain Defoe in at 5/1. The popular bookmaker offers up to a free £50 bet for new customers registering an account with, matching the value of the first stake on a new account.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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