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Aston Villa v Fulham Prediction & Betting Tips – 26th May 2018

23rd May 2018 / lee
Championship Betting

Aston Villa v Fulham Championship, 26th May 5.00pm

Maybe it is fitting that it has all come down to this in the Championship play-offs. At the end of the regular season, Fulham finished in third with Aston Villa in fourth. So outside of the two automatic promotion spots, these were the best two teams in the division. Now it is just a one-off match, dubbed as the richest match in English football, to decide who will be playing in the Premier League next season.

Aston Villa v Fulham Betting Odds*

Fulham 13/10, Draw 21/10, Aston Villa 23/10* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018)

Aston Villa News and Form

Aston Villa battled their way past Middlesbrough in a tight semi-final, with the Villains winning 1-0 on aggregate. It could be quite telling at the end of the day that Aston Villa have struggled for the goals lately. In five of their last seven games, they have scored exactly one goal in each while failing to score in one of the other two. So down the final stretch of the season they have done things by a pretty narrow margin. Taking that into consideration, it would be hard to imagine that Aston Villa would take a win by anything other than a one-goal margin.

What Aston Villa can bring to the table goal is a very solid defence and they have experienced players running through the squad to handle this big occasion. Villa have conceded just the one goal in their last three games and they did after all blank Middlesbrough in both legs of their play-off tie. Under 2.5 goals at bet365 is at 4/7 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). Aston Villa have won just one of their last four games now (D2 L1) so aren’t quite bang in top form. Their opponents have posted a very good defence this season as well, so perhaps the question is whether or not Aston Villa really have the craft to open up Fulham and outscore their opponents if their own defence doesn’t hold up?

Fulham News and Form

Only Championship winners Wolves scored more goals in the division than Fulham did this season. During their great 23 match undefeated streak in the Championship this season, they did secure a 2-0 win over Aston Villa. In the bet365 correct score market for the Championship play-off final, the shortest priced option is the 1-1 draw at 90 min, with a Fulham 1-0 option at 11/2 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 3:45 a.m. on May 21st, 2018). In their semi-final match up against Derby, Fulham did show some good character. After losing the first leg 1-0 at Pride Park, the Cottagers fought back well to produce the 2-0 home win to get through to the final. It is that extra scoring power, the extra attacking quality that will have appeal for punters on backing Fulham at Wembley. However just because of the situation and the massive prize that is at stake, it could be a low scoring game.

11 of the last 16 Championship play-off finals have all ended under 2.5 goals, which is a good trend to look for. Each of the last five finals have stayed under the goal-line. Ten of the last 16 finals have had only the one goal or less in them. Fulham will be taking on the second-best defence that the Championship produced this season, and the half time draw will have big appeal because Aston Villa were level at the break in eight of their last 11 games against top six sides. So this is going to boil down to the battle between Fulham’s fantastic attacking, and Aston Villa’s tough defence.

Aston Villa v Fulham Head to Head

Fulham and Aston Villa traded home wins during the regular season, and both games were won with the victor scoring exactly two goals. There have been two wins for each in the last four meetings which have all been in the Championship, but if you look back just a little bit further, then Fulham have lost just two of their last eight fixtures against the Villains with a W5 D1 L2 in the head-to-head. Fulham have scored at least two goals in four of their last six games against Aston Villa.

Who will win – Aston Villa v Fulham Predictions

There probably isn’t going to be too much to choose between these two on the weekend as they are two very good sides. However, if you’re looking for something to split them, then it could be the powerful attack of Fulham which wins the day. Aston Villa don’t quite have the same degree of punch and creativity going forward as the Cottagers do. Fulham to win.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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