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Aston Villa v Derby Prediction & Betting Tips – 28th April 2018

25th April 2018 / lee
Championship Betting

Aston Villa v Derby Championship, 28th April 3.00pm

The Villains are heading towards the play offs and they have slipped back into good form as well with a three match winning streak going for themselves. After a big win over Ipswich on the weekend, they will be confident of taking down Derby who had to go through an extra tough midweek game. But the Rams took a hugely important win on Tuesday night to boost their play off chances.

Aston Villa v Derby Betting Odds*

Aston Villa 19/20, Draw 5/2, Derby 11/4* (Betting Odds taken at 00:22 p.m. on March 20th, 2018)

Aston Villa News and Form

Villa are running on a three match winning streak in the Championship at the moment and each of their last four wins in the Championship have all been with a clean sheet. Aston Villa to win to nil with bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). Villa have actually kept five clean sheets in their last six games so they are carrying good form towards the play offs. Villa are on a three match winning streak at Villa Park as well and they have produced a fantastic W8 D1 L1 record in their last ten home games. So you would imagine that there is enough there to see them get the win on the board in this one. Villa’s overall record at home this season is W14 D6 L2 and they have averaged 1.8 goals per game, while they have conceded just the 18 goals in 22 fixtures. They have taken a clean sheet in 45% of their games at Villa Park this season. The Villains have netted in each of their last eleven home games and in the bet365 correct score market an Aston Villa 1-0 is going to appeal at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). Only the top two have a better home record than Villa to this season.

Derby News and Form

Derby took a massively important win over Cardiff in midweek which saw them move back above Millwall into sixth spot. Will they be able to hang on to that play off place with two to play? That was a huge result for them especially as they had lost their previous three on the trot. It is all excitingly getting down to the wire now and there’s no more margin for error. Derby have lost their last two away from home in the league and have won just one of their last eight away from Pride Park (D4 L3) so it’s fair to say that they haven’t been travelling well. They have failed to take a clean sheet in any of their last four league games now so both teams to score with bet365 is at 4/5 odds* (betting odds taken on April 24th, 2018 at 2:56 a.m.). That win over Cardiff has to have done their confidence the world of good. Derby’s overall away form for the season is W8 D9 L5 and they have averaged 1.3 goals per game on their travels. Matej Vydra was on the scoresheet again in the week and he is going to their best route to goal. Derby have scored in 73% of their away games in the Championship this season. They need another performance like the one that they just pulled out of their hat.

Aston Villa v Derby Head to Head

Aston Villa suffered a 2-0 defeat at Pride Park back in December but that continued a streak of both teams not scoring in any of the last five games between the two of them. Aston Villa though are up in the recent head to head with a W4 D1 L1 record in their last six meetings with the Rams. The Villains have won their last eight league matches on home soil against the Rams.

Who will win – Aston Villa v Derby Predictions

Villa have the home form to suggest that they can go and get themselves three points in the bag in this one. It’s just about momentum for them now as they really themselves for their postseason challenge. Derby did the business when they had to at home in midweek, but it is still going to be tough to get anything out of Villa at Villa Park. Home win to nil.

The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+

* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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